Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 45.936710 53.100465 60.501276 68.681093 77.433160 86.484282 96.520111
2026-02-01 34.616746 44.637428 55.562117 68.199071 82.269125 97.325666 114.533226
2026-02-08 28.077160 39.532332 52.550114 68.108561 85.904225 105.370675 128.036797
2026-02-15 22.732073 34.967931 49.443796 67.269500 88.143058 111.401938 138.898528
2026-02-22 19.437032 32.384524 48.248636 68.271748 92.159672 119.158387 151.442611
2026-03-01 16.895437 30.405450 47.509762 69.578263 96.333019 126.935460 163.875067
2026-03-08 13.858612 27.381440 45.170269 68.691551 97.706363 131.314304 172.278881
2026-03-15 11.065195 24.318964 42.500060 67.159485 98.111603 134.407728 179.064861
2026-03-22 10.229868 24.013043 43.399146 70.077891 103.889681 143.806368 193.165929
2026-03-29 9.056236 23.032088 43.278755 71.607785 107.900726 151.064692 204.733544
2026-04-05 7.413295 21.065038 41.635549 71.032639 109.202449 155.010906 212.346785
2026-04-12 6.015405 19.284107 40.110296 70.500620 110.471597 158.852478 219.783313
2026-04-19 5.005426 18.048312 39.310956 70.917042 112.951617 164.199908 229.077510
2026-04-26 3.912993 16.434215 37.819342 70.301409 114.050892 167.824211 236.290641
2026-05-03 3.092874 15.183723 36.778935 70.231973 115.797812 172.201604 244.374707
2026-05-10 2.277255 13.701542 35.243435 69.374562 116.449474 175.175871 250.727295
2026-05-17 1.859852 13.072584 35.046165 70.394577 119.551916 181.186519 260.755173
2026-05-24 1.538926 12.605605 35.079216 71.722992 123.049102 187.683844 271.374330
2026-05-31 1.031470 11.344555 33.640484 70.821372 123.513314 190.335055 277.269787
2026-06-07 0.590798 9.949471 31.823559 69.263292 123.025061 191.734329 281.591322
2026-06-14 0.552574 10.173467 32.992130 72.231018 128.706697 200.981829 295.587278
2026-06-21 0.429096 9.923271 33.244552 73.786395 132.450195 207.758942 306.538959
2026-06-28 0.226706 9.001839 32.136721 73.201698 133.222744 210.720244 312.760135